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Northern Ireland Public Attitudes Update
The Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey 2006 results were published recently. Just thought I'd add the results to the table I created last year to look at how the responses might be trending.
| 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Irelands Future | ||||||||||
| Remain in UK | 54% | 58% | 59% | 55% | 55% | 50% | 60% | 56% | 57% | |
| Unify with Eire | 30% | 23% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 28% | 17% | 21% | 22% | |
| Independence | 3% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 6% | |
| Nationality | ||||||||||
| British | 39% | 39% | 47% | 41% | 45% | 45% | 49% | 45% | 41% | |
| Irish | 28% | 28% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 30% | 22% | 29% | 27% | |
| Northern Irish | 26% | 27% | 21% | 24% | 19% | 27% | 20% | 19% | 23% | |
Follow up:
While some have been positively wetting themselves over the figures, frankly I don't think there's been enough of a change to make it newsworthy. Disappointed with the all time low result for independence, and the numbers for unification with the Republic seem quite high, but other than that I think we'll have to wait until next year to tell if there's been any serious change.
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5 comments
In 2001, there was only a 22% difference between those in favour of the Uk and the separatists.
But, yes, down to 24% now from 35% a year ago, hmmm...worrying; why haven't SF and SDLP called for a Border Poll on the basis of this ???
But, yes, down to 24% now from 35% a year ago, hmmm...worrying; why haven't SF and SDLP called for a Border Poll on the basis of this ???
29 Jun 2007 @ 15:02
Thanks for compiling the figures Beano, but people ought not to crow about them. If the NILT had figures only going back to 2001 people would think they told a very different story.
ONeill, I presume that there's been no call for a border poll because the SDLP and SF know they wouldn't win it. Personally, I'm of the (minority) opinion that a well-run anti-UI campaign would swing a lot of those voters, even if on the evidence there was a higher number in favour of a UI. The key would be to focus on the NHS.
ONeill, I presume that there's been no call for a border poll because the SDLP and SF know they wouldn't win it. Personally, I'm of the (minority) opinion that a well-run anti-UI campaign would swing a lot of those voters, even if on the evidence there was a higher number in favour of a UI. The key would be to focus on the NHS.
30 Jun 2007 @ 00:17
ONeill, I presume that there's been no call for a border poll because the SDLP and SF know they wouldn't win it
Exactly, Ciaran.
Although I am very sceptical that either the UUP or DUP could deliver a "well-run" anything. I'm not even sure the DUP would be too bothered either way to be honest, as long as they maintain their powerbase.
Exactly, Ciaran.
Although I am very sceptical that either the UUP or DUP could deliver a "well-run" anything. I'm not even sure the DUP would be too bothered either way to be honest, as long as they maintain their powerbase.
01 Jul 2007 @ 13:51
Comment from: kensei [Visitor] 
Sigh. The poll is clearly flawed. Care to list the party voting intention figures?
As for a well run anti-UI campaign swinging people, a well run pro-UI campaign would also swing voters. That's kind of the point of well-run campaigns.
Personally, I'd favour a referendum just to properly find out the lie of the land.
As for a well run anti-UI campaign swinging people, a well run pro-UI campaign would also swing voters. That's kind of the point of well-run campaigns.
Personally, I'd favour a referendum just to properly find out the lie of the land.
05 Jul 2007 @ 01:37
Care to list the party voting intention figures?
kensei
Why are those be significant?
kensei
Why are those be significant?
08 Jul 2007 @ 23:18
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